May 21, 2022

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The pace of the Toronto Maple Leafs dominated Sport 1 in opposition to the Tampa Bay Lightning, however John Cooper and the Bolts have been undefeated within the postseason in two years – 45 video games in complete.

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Can Tampa recuperate from their embarrassing efficiency in Sport 1? Can Toronto proceed to dominate possession and get one other stellar begin from Jack Campbell? Discover out in our free NHL betting roundups and Lightning vs. Maple leaves.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs odds

The Leafs opened as favorites on a -115 moneyline and have since moved all the way down to -130. The overall opened at 6.5 and reached 6.0 on a number of books. Toronto closed as 120 dwelling favorites with a complete of 6.5 in Sport 1 in a 5-0 win.

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Lightning vs Maple Leafs predictions

Forecasts made on 05/04/2022 at 9:00 AM ET.
Click on on every forecast to go to the total evaluation.


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Sport Data Lightning vs Maple Leafs

Location: Scotiabank Enviornment, Toronto, Ontario.
the date: Wednesday, Might 4, 2022
Puck drop: 7:30 pm ET
a tv: Sportnet

Lightning vs Maple Leafs collection odds (TOR leads 2-1)

Lightning: +170
Maple leaves: -200

Lightning vs Maple Leafs betting preview

Key accidents

Lightning: No accidents to report.
Maple leaves: Kyle Clifford F (Out), Rasmus Sandin D (Uncertain), Petr Mrazek G (Out).

Take a look at our newest NHL damage experiences.


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Head-to-head document between the Lightning and the Maple Leafs since 2018-19

Lightning: 6-6 SS, 42 objectives for.
Maple leaves: 6-6 SS, 35 objectives for.

Price development you should know

The Leafs are 17-4 SU of their final 21 video games and are -150 or much less favorites this season. Study extra about NHL betting developments for Lightning and Lightning matches. Maple leaves.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs predictions and predictions

Our facet and complete predictions are primarily based on our evaluation of the road and complete on this sport. Our prime choose is our favourite alternative in all markets.

Cash line evaluation

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a near-perfect sport on Monday in Sport 1 of the collection in opposition to the two-time defending champions. The Lightning misplaced and completed 0-for-5 on the powerplay, together with a five-minute main within the first interval. Many say the Bolts had a break in play and can bounce again in Sport 2, however can a group that has performed extra hockey than anybody else within the final three seasons sustain with the Leafs’ pace?


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Toronto gave the impression to be creating as many shorthanded scoring alternatives as Tampa Bay with a person benefit. The Lightning regarded sluggish and sloppy in opposition to a motivated Leafs group that simply two weeks in the past avenged an 8-1 loss in Tampa.

The Bolts wished a bodily sport and the Buds needed to, however the hosts additionally confirmed their finest benefit, their ahead pace. Contemplating Sheldon Keefe’s present prime three, his group has elite pace in each set.

Pierre Engval scored 5 pictures into the online and completed third in anticipated objectives, Ilya Mikheev had an help and 4 pictures, whereas Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, William Nylander and even Ondrej Kase dominated and completed with increased purpose percentages 80%. Keefe has modified his lanes all through the sport, however the pace this group has on the flanks is difficult to plan for a sport if you do not have the right property.


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Michael Bunting can be seeking to play tonight, which is able to reunite the highest lane. His addition will make the center six stronger and Alex Kerfoot will return to the second or third group.

The Leafs’ fourth line additionally performed higher than the Tampa’s fourth, and disappointment appeared to come back later with Corey Perry and Patrick Maroon making no influence on the sport. Kyle Clifford was suspended for this sport, however Toronto has sufficient depth for that closing line and Jason Spezza might draw tonight.

Jack Campbell wasn’t too busy, however he stopped all the things that received in his manner. In his final eight playoff video games since final season, the goalie that many pundits questioned early within the season has a 1.59 GAA and 0.941 SV%.


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The bookkeeping has additionally warmed to the Leafs, who’re thought of the favorites on the -130 moneyline after closing at -120 in Sport 1. We all know the Bolts have a straight 14-0 document after shedding the playoffs for final two seasons, however it is going to be very tough for the Cooper Squad to decelerate the Leafs. Together with Sport 1, Vasilevskiy has a 2.95 GAA with 906% SV over the past 26 video games.

Forecast: Maple Leafs moneyline (-127 on Coolbet)

Covers NHL betting evaluation.

Over/below evaluation

The Tampa Bay offense was out of sync within the first sport. Even his elite play for essentially the most half forgot to shine and gave the Leafs extra possibilities to attain than they created. Tampa will discover a option to get into the stats tonight, although it might not be usually. Nevertheless, with a complete of 6.0 seats, Toronto can nonetheless do the laborious work for this Over if the Bolts rating two or fewer.

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Matthews and Marner removed the proverbial monkeys within the first sport, which ought to make life simpler for the highest hockey duo. The Leafs confirmed they may rating at any second, scoring three tied objectives, one energy play and one quick hand on Monday. This group led the league in objectives scored for the season and completed with the most effective PP.

Wasilewski received Conn Smythe final season however has been closely relied on for the previous three seasons and has been a sub-par goaltender since March. He has a 2.95 GAA in 26 video games and is 8-3 to over in his final 11 video games.

In a league the place nearly each group is anxious with maintaining their goalies busy, Vasilevskiy is among the few gamers to have performed 205 of his group’s 257 video games over the previous three seasons, representing an 80% beginning share. That is a variety of hockey.


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There have been additionally many penalties within the first sport because the referees tried to maintain issues below management. It did not reduce the emotion on both facet because it received powerful late and it ought to escalate into tonight. Clifford’s assault on Ross Colton in all probability stirred up the cauldron as nicely. We might see simply as many whistles tonight and it would not shock us to see a variety of 4v4s because the striped shirts attempt to preserve management.

The Leafs assault higher when Bunting joins them, and the pace of this group on the flanks makes them harmful at any time. With the most recent change, Keefe has the benefit of creating his favourite matches and it labored in Sport 1. With the depth the Leafs have of their Prime 9, Cooper and the Bolts could not have many choices to decelerate this group from Toronto who confirmed it. can have a loud and motivating shed.


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If that complete hits 6.5, we’re in all probability not over, however at 6 – the bottom complete within the final 4 conferences – we’re all in. To date within the playoffs, we have now seen groups scoring objectives early and likewise scoring as many as three objectives. We would want an empty bracket to win this, however getting 6 as a substitute of 6.5 is large and one thing you do not see usually in Toronto totals.

Forecast: Over 6 (-128 on FanDuel)

Greatest wager

On Monday, the Leafs confused traces all through the sport, however William Nylander completed with essentially the most objectives regardless of not being scored on the scoresheet. He led the group in shot makes an attempt (six) and was second in web pictures (4). He leads the assault on the third line and has seen time with John Tavares on the second line.

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The books give us a 2.5 total likelihood on Nylander and we consider he might see some higher matches if Cooper tries to decelerate the highest lane. He’s additionally on PP1 and because the referees are in all probability attempting to maintain issues below management, he’ll see a variety of time on the powerplay (and presumably 4-on-4).

The Leafs are averaging 36.75 pictures per sport in opposition to the Lightning over the past 4 conferences, and that mainstay is usually rated a lot lower than -118.

Select: William Nylander Over 2.5 pictures (-120)

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